U.S. Long-Term Rate Projections Edge Higher to 3.2% in Q3 2026

The United States’ long-term interest rate projection inched up in the third quarter of 2026, rising to 3.2% from 3.1% in the previous quarter. The latest reading, dated for the third quarter of 2026, marks a modest but notable continuation of the upward trend seen earlier in the year.

In the second quarter of 2026, the long-term rate projection had halted at 3.1%, suggesting a period of relative stability. The subsequent move to 3.2% in the third quarter indicates a slight recalibration of expectations, potentially reflecting evolving views on growth, inflation, or monetary policy conditions.

The data, last updated on 16 September 2026, will be closely watched by investors and policymakers as they assess the trajectory of borrowing costs and longer-term financial conditions in the U.S. economy.