USD/CAD technical analysis for January 21, 2011

Support levels: 0.9820, 0.9711, 0.9650

Resistance levels: 1.0050, 1.0212, 1.0290


On a 4-hour graph the USD/CAD has successfully broken the resistance level at 0.9980 to roll back further. Earlier the USD/CAD has bounced off after refreshing a multi-month low.
At the moment the viewpoint to the pair is neutral. As mentioned before, if the USD/CAD breaks the 0.9980 resistance level further advance to 1.0212 should be expected.
However, if a reversal takes place break of the 0.9820 support level will target the pair to 0.9711.
In the midterm the breakout of the support level at 0.9930 indicated continuing midterm downtrend from 1.3063 (2009 high) with 0.9700 as a target. However, this downside movement is probably a correction, and strong support level is located near 0.9056-0.9700.
Thus, if a reversal takes place, the breakout of 1.0851 will prove the downtrend broken through from 1.3063. In this case the USD/CAD is expected to go up to the resistance level 1.1126 with 1.1866 as the next target.