The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its long-term bearish channel at 114.60 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide buy signals but approaches overbuy zone and until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have stabilized showing a more regular volatility.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, so we recommend 2 scenarios: the first one is the hypothesis of a decline, then we recommend a sell on the level of 114.60 with the 1st objective at 114.00 and then at 113.80. A break through 114.80 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance, then we recommend a “buy stop”, which means to buy the spot rate as soon as it has broken through its resistance of 114.60 with the 1st objective at 115.20 and then at 115.40. A break through 114.40 will invalidate this scenario.