Support levels: 0.9640, 0.9513, 0.9440
Resistance levels: 0.9840, 0.9972, 1.0050
In a 4-hour graph the USD/CAD has been moving sideways, yet continuing to be traded in uptrend. The current dynamics may be interpreted as consolidation before growth with an aim to test 0.9840 resistance level.
As mentioned before, in case the resistance at 0.9721 is broken we should expect upside movement to 0.9972. Successful testing of this level will bring about a medium term bottom. Further break of 1.0380 will denote that the rollback from 1.0680 is over and further growth should be expected.
It is worth mentioning that in a 4-hour graph a reverse figure “Reversed Head and Shoulders” was formed. Break of the neck line proved this point of view and targeted the pair to 1.0050.
If a reversal takes place and the USD/CAD breaks the 0.9445 support level, it will further advance to 0.9400. Besides, we can expect a decline to 0.9353, which is 100.0 Fibonacci projection of 1.0285 to 0.9666 up to 0.9972.
In the medium term the breakout of the support level at 0.9930 indicated continuing midterm downtrend from 1.3063 (2009 high) with 0.9400 as a target. However, this downside movement is probably a correction, and a strong support level is located near 0.9056-0.9700.
The viewpoint at the pair is bearish until the resistance at 0.9972 is broken.
Thus, if a reversal takes place, the breakout of 1.0851 will prove the downtrend broken through from 1.3063. In this case the USD/CAD is expected to go up to 1.1126 with 1.1866 as the next target.