Elliott Wave Analysis of EUR/NZD for June 12, 2013

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

R3: 1.6992

R2: 1.6956

R1: 1.6920

Current Spot: 1.6836

S1: 1.6809

S2: 1.6772

S3: 1.6692

Technical Overview:

We think there was the culmination of black wave iii at 171.09 yesterday. It was a little higher than our ideal target near 1.7040, but then trying to pin-point the top of an extended wave three is not the easiest thing to do. In short-term, we are looking for a minor rally towards 1.6956 and ideally to 1.6992 before the next decline begins. This decline should break below 1.6800 and more importantly - below 1.6692, which will confirm that we have seen the top of black wave iii and that black wave iv towards 1.6399 is developing. That said, we must consider the possibility of black wave iv to be sub-normal, because of the strength of black wave iii, but only time will tell.

Trading Recommendation:

Take profit at 1.7015 was hit yesterday and we took a huge profit. We are now looking for a EUR-selling opportunity and will sell EUR at 1.6980 or upon a break below 1.6800 (one order cancels the other) with a stop at 171.15.