AUD/USD Technical Analysis based on Ichimoku Technique for September 6, 2011

H4

Australian currency confirms expectations and continues to fall against U.S. dollar. At yesterday’s trading the pair decreased more than 60 ppt and closed at 1.0550. Yesterday though, bears tested a level at 1.0520 as well.
4-hour frame trading is carried out within the Ichimoku cloud, with a further short-term downtrend. Currently, Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen formed a dead cross (5) and tend to continue downward movement. The Ishimoku cloud started narrowing as a result of price fall, and Senkou Span A and B moved opposite to each other (1, 2).
In the short term though, a downward movement may decelerate as the Chinkou Span is moving towards resold area.


H1

In 1-hour timeframe, the Tenkan-Sen showed resistance to bulls yesterday which tried to restore the market after Friday’s fall. As a result, prices reached new local minimums at 1.0520.
Today sees the continuation of the downward movement as bears tested a level at 1.0500 and thus supported the downtrend.
The Ishimoku cloud continues to fall: Senkou Span A and B look downwards (1, 2).
Currently, short-term Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen held a dead cross (5) and tend to continue downward movement.
Therefore, after a possible consolidation below the current support level at 1.0500, the market is likely to continue its downtrend.