AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for March 2, 2012

AUD/USD finished the downwave from 1.08944 to 1.0597 - this is corrective wave B of medium term uptrend (colored light green in the chart). Now impulse wave C is developing from 1.0597. Within this wave we have A, and B subwaves (colored royal blue in the chart), and subwave B is still developing from 1.0856. The latter, by the way, also has two subwaves (colored red in the chart), with corrective subwave B still developing from 1.0715.

Now the targets above the current price level are Fibonacci expansions off 1.0145-1.0844-1.0597, 1.0597-1.0856-1.0715.

Resistances:

- 1.0875 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0974 = objective point (OP)
- 1.1029 = COP

However if the price reverses to the downside, the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0597-1.0856, and expansions off 1.0856-1.0715-1.0817.

Support:

- 1.0730 = COP
- 1.0696 = .618 ret
- 1.0676 = OP
- 1.0598 = XOP

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving up, so it's prefereable to go long when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (15-25 pips below the current prices), watch for possibilities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.