Zinc futures retreated toward $3,370 per tonne as investors locked in profits following a surge to the highest level in over three and a half years, a rally that had been fueled by tightening short-term supply. The recent decline comes against a backdrop of falling LME inventories and a narrowing Cash–3M contango, both indicating a firmer underlying market structure. At the same time, lower treatment charges for zinc concentrate point to reduced availability of raw materials. Stocks at the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell by 1.8%, and concentrate inventories at ports dropped sharply, underscoring the tightness in feedstock supply.
On the supply side, ongoing mine closures and operational disruptions have continued to exert upward pressure on prices. Some relief, however, is anticipated from the restart of Boliden’s Tara mine and the production ramp-up at Ivanhoe’s Kipushi project. In Peru, zinc concentrate output presented a mixed picture, declining on a monthly basis while remaining higher than a year earlier.
On the demand front, improving industrial activity in China has lent support to market sentiment. Nonetheless, persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on the broader outlook and inject uncertainty into the demand prospects for zinc.