FX.co ★ Mexican GDP Contracts as Expected

In the third quarter of 2025, Mexico's GDP experienced a seasonally adjusted decline of 0.3%, in line with predictions, reducing the 0.6% growth seen in the previous quarter. This marked only the second quarterly downturn since early 2021 when COVID-19 variants caused an economic setback. The recent contraction highlights the effects of new tariffs imposed by the United States, Mexico's primary trading partner. The automotive industry, a crucial sector for Mexican manufacturing, was particularly impacted, leading to a 1.5% decrease in industrial GDP. This decline overshadowed a 3.2% growth in primary industries, buoyed by increased silver prices, while the services sector showed little change. Year-over-year, the GDP saw a slight contraction of 0.2%, marking the first annual decline since the first quarter of 2021.