FX.co ★ Jackroay | EUR/USD

I analyze EUR/USD as a logical and technically sound pairing because I respect how consistently it follows my daily benchmarks, I appreciate that its usual trading ranges stay within fifty to seventy pips, I accept that rare explosions like the three hundred forty-pip move in April exist but I do not let them distort my expectations, I believe this structure allows me to trade calmly even without stops because I know the cost of a mistake is rarely fatal, I remember selling at 1.1668 and watching price climb to 1.1768, I recognized quickly that the market was shifting into a broader US dollar selloff, I refused to average against that sentiment because I trust patience more than stubbornness, I waited for the dust to settle instead of forcing an entry, I admitted yesterday that the puzzle for a clean entry did not come together, I recently bought from 1.1673 with the intention of targeting the 1.17 figure, I planned this buy with the idea that highs would not be updated aggressively, I limited my upside expectations to the 1.1720–1.1730 zone, I kept my earlier sale open because I value hedging when structure is unclear, I decided I would close that sale only if price drops below 1.1650, I prepared a longer-term plan to hold the sale toward 1.15 after a proper rollback to 1.17, I observe that this balanced approach fits my psychology well, I question the logic of switching to longs when all of us were already positioned north at the week’s opening, I argue that there was no real change in direction because the market simply realized what we were already expecting, I notice that even after a hundred-point pullback the desire to move higher remains strong, I admit that margin dynamics changed and the structure shows a break, I suspect the quotes may still shoot toward the 1.1785 region near the NZD reference, I frame this suspicion as a continuation scenario rather than a blind hope, I conclude that my main strength here is discipline rather than prediction, and I remind myself that consistency beats excitement in this pair.

I recall writing in yesterday’s forecast that the pair would break through 1.1670, I admit it only brushed that level and failed to close beyond it, I note that at the moment of writing price is correcting on the H1 chart around 1.16833, I consult the InstaForex indicator and see a slight buyer advantage near fifty-three percent, I also observe that the same indicator shows a short-term downward trend, I balance these conflicting signals by combining technical and fundamental analysis, I check the calendar and confirm that no major Eurozone news is scheduled, I shift my attention to the US releases including jobless claims, crude inventories, core PCE, and GDP, I remind myself that such data can easily inject volatility into otherwise calm ranges, I decide to remain calm and analytical rather than emotional, I expect fluctuations before any decisive move forms, I maintain my belief that a break of 1.1640 is still likely after intraday noise, I prepare mentally for false breakouts and quick retracements, I respect the idea that the market often tests patience before rewarding conviction, I align my intraday bias with the broader dollar dynamics rather than single indicators, I monitor volume and reaction speed around 1.1670 and 1.1640, I accept that my scenario may be delayed but not invalidated, I emphasize risk control even when trading without hard stops, I keep reminding myself that flexibility is survival in forex, I view today’s session as a test of structure rather than direction, I believe that the outcome will depend more on US data tone than on European silence, I conclude that my strategy remains coherent and disciplined, and I finish by wishing everyone steady hands and happy hunting while I continue to let price confirm my ideas.