FX.co ★ Australia 10-Year Yield Falls to Over 1-Month Low

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield fell below 4.70%, its lowest level since mid-January, after RBA minutes reinforced a tightening bias without clearly signaling another rate hike. Policymakers concluded that an increase in interest rates was warranted, noting that risks to both inflation and employment had “shifted materially.” They warned that without further policy action, inflation would likely remain above the central bank’s target for an extended period.

The labor market was described as firm, with downside risks having eased and labor costs still elevated. The minutes also underscored that financial conditions have loosened considerably, with banks lending readily and credit growth staying strong. The RBA reiterated its data-dependent stance and stressed that there is no pre-set path for interest rates. Investor attention now turns to Wednesday’s wage figures and Thursday’s labor market report for additional guidance on the policy outlook.