FX.co ★ absh kaat | USD/CHF

I am outlining that this thread is clearly dedicated to the structured publication of technical analysis focused specifically on the USD/CHF instrument, and I understand that including the USD/CHF ticker in every post is strongly recommended to maintain clarity and consistency for all forum participants. I am emphasizing that adherence to the established ForexMoney Forum Rules and the Rules of Good Form is mandatory, and I recognize that these rules exist to preserve analytical quality, professionalism, and constructive dialogue among traders. I am fully aware that any posts violating these standards, whether through improper language, irrelevant content, or rule-breaking behavior, will be deleted without exception in order to protect the integrity of the discussion. I am encouraged by the recommendation to post screenshots with detailed chart markup, as I believe visual confirmation of technical setups significantly improves the credibility and educational value of USD/CHF analysis. I am also noting that clear instructions are provided on how to take and upload screenshots, which I see as an effort to ensure uniform presentation and accessibility for traders with different levels of experience. I am acknowledging that the KISA system recommendations are referenced as an additional analytical framework, and I consider them a useful optional guideline for traders who incorporate systematic or algorithmic perspectives into their USD/CHF forecasts. I am clearly aware that spam, copy-paste content, and emotional appeals between participants are strictly unacceptable, and I agree that such behavior undermines objective market analysis and distracts from price-based reasoning. I am stressing that original, thoughtful analysis rooted in technical indicators, price structure, volume behavior, and market context is expected from contributors in this USD/CHF thread. I am positioning myself to approach participation with discipline, neutrality, and respect, focusing on factual observations rather than subjective opinions or emotionally driven bias. I am convinced that by following these principles, the discussion can remain a valuable resource for traders seeking informed perspectives on USD/CHF price action. I am committed to presenting analysis that is clear, well-reasoned, and supported by charts whenever possible, as this aligns with the forum’s emphasis on transparency and accountability. I am ultimately viewing this thread as a collaborative analytical environment where disciplined technical analysis of USD/CHF can help participants refine their strategies, improve decision-making, and maintain a professional trading mindset.

I am observing that the USD/CHF pair on the four-hour chart is currently undergoing a bearish corrective phase after I saw the bulls successfully update the previous local high and establish a new maximum during the retest of the upward breakout area near the 0.8035 resistance level. I am interpreting this pullback not as a trend reversal but as a natural corrective movement within a broader bullish structure that I note has been forming steadily since December 23, when the pair rebounded from the significant medium-term low around 0.7860. I am emphasizing that the overall market structure still reflects a developing medium-term uptrend, as I continue to see higher lows and higher highs dominating the price behavior despite the current retracement. I am paying close attention to the fact that during this correction, the price is moving lower and is now testing a downward breakout of the 14-period moving average, which I consider a key dynamic support level within an ongoing bullish trend. I am also highlighting that from a psychological perspective, I do not expect strong panic among buyers even if the price approaches the round and psychologically important 0.8000 level, as such levels often attract renewed buying interest rather than sustained selling pressure. I am, however, cautious in stating that a confident four-hour close below 0.8000 would be undesirable for bulls, especially if it is accompanied by expanding bearish momentum, although I still recognize that even in this scenario the price would remain above both lines of the “2 EMA Color Alerts” trend indicator. I am noting that this indicator, which I have been monitoring for trend confirmation, had resisted supporting the bullish scenario for an extended period, but I now see that it has finally shifted in favor of the buyers, reinforcing my bullish medium-term bias. I am considering this alignment between price structure and trend indicators as an important confirmation signal rather than a standalone trigger. I am therefore maintaining the expectation that once the corrective pressure fades, the USD/CHF pair will attempt another upward impulse toward the 0.8045 resistance area. I am anticipating that bulls will likely try to break above this level and consolidate in the upper part of the 0.80 figure, which I believe would further validate the strength and sustainability of the current medium-term uptrend.