I've been intensely stalking this AUDCHF H4 chart over the last few sessions, and watching this specific four-hour candle completely shift the market dynamic is exactly why I love trading. The pair is currently trading right at 0.5643, and after pulling up , it is beautifully obvious that we are witnessing a highly anticipated breakout through that major white descending trendline that’s been choking the price action for weeks. I know the instant retail reaction right now is pure FOMO, with everyone wanting to blindly chase this massive green candle as it spikes up, but as a disciplined trader, I am firmly holding my breath and waiting for absolute structural confirmation. We need to see this current four-hour candle close convincingly above the broken trendline, and more importantly, we need the next candle to stabilize and establish a solid foothold above the immediate support zone to prove this isn't just a classic bull trap. The buyers are aggressively testing the immediate horizontal resistance ceiling fixed at 0.5651, and clearing that level is going to be the ultimate trigger for a major trend reversal. Looking lower at our indicators, the RSI has surged dramatically up to 67.44, perfectly mirroring this explosive buying velocity, and since it hasn’t quite crossed into overbought territory yet, there is still plenty of room for this rally to run. If the price successfully stabilizes here, I am targeting a clean continuation toward the previous swing highs at 0.5670 and eventually 0.5690 to maximize gains. However, if the candle completely fails and caves back below the trendline, we’ll quickly see a flush back to the red moving average at 0.5615 and the green moving average at 0.5623, so keeping cool and maintaining strict patience is absolutely key right now.
FX.co ★ Melsiafy | AUDCHF
AUDCHF
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade