FX.co ★ Sajidctn | EUR/JPY

Comprehensive Technical Analysis of EUR/JPY: Daily and 4-Hour Market Structure Evaluation Macro-Structural Overview and Daily Chart Dynamics The daily chart for EUR/JPY (EURJPY.fx, D1) displays a comprehensive view of price action spanning from early September 2026 through early November 2026. Throughout September, the currency pair established a pronounced corrective phase, descending from peaks near the 182.110 threshold down toward a significant horizontal support shelf marked around the 175.610 price level (highlighted by the bright yellow indicator line). This descending leg was defined by consistent red volume distribution bars and a series of lower highs constrained by medium-term moving average slopes.

By examining the structural boundaries on the daily timeframe, price action respected a descending resistance trajectory before finding strong institutional buyer participation near the 175.610 support level during late October. The session occurring around 29 October 2026 marked a pivotal shift, characterized by an aggressive bullish expansion candle accompanied by an upsurge in buying volume. This impulsive shift invalidated the immediate bearish continuation narrative, clearing prior local resistance zones and setting the stage for a retest of higher structural hurdles near the 177.927 level (highlighted in orange). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily timeframe sits at 53.68, reflecting a neutral-to-bullish momentum bias. The RSI line has curved upward from oversold-adjacent conditions near the 30.00 threshold registered during mid-October dips, aligning smoothly with the recovery in price. This structural transition suggests that market control has shifted from aggressive sellers to corrective buyers, though the asset continues to interact with overhead moving average resistance bands visible near the upper boundaries of the daily chart layout. Intermediate Price Action and 4-Hour Timeframe Execution Zooming into the intermediate 4-hour chart (EURJPY.fx, H4) covering late October to 4 November 2026, the mechanics of the recent bullish reversal become substantially clearer. Following the accumulation phase near the 175.610 floor, price action engineered a decisive market structure break (MSB) to the upside on 30 October 2026. This impulse broke through preceding consolidation highs, propelled by high-volume green participation bars that signaled strong institutional sponsorship. Following this impulse leg, EUR/JPY formed a healthy bullish flag and consolidation range just beneath the 177.927 resistance level. The moving average ribbon on the H4 timeframe exhibits a bullish crossover alignment, where faster moving average lines have crossed above slower baselines, reinforcing short-to-medium-term upward continuation. Candles on 3 and 4 November 2026 show tight body ranges oscillating tightly around the 177.927 marker, indicating absorption of remaining supply at this historical inflection point. The RSI on the 4-hour chart registers at 61.47, indicating sustained bullish momentum without entering extreme overbought territory above 70.00. This leaves ample room for a secondary expansion phase should the market successfully clear and close a 4-hour candle above the 177.927 resistance ceiling. Conversely, failure to sustain momentum above this zone could invite a corrective pullback toward immediate moving average support bands situated near 176.970. Volume Profile and Momentum Indicator Synthesis Volume distribution across both monitored timeframes provides critical context regarding market participation. On the daily chart, volume spikes are prominently clustered around major inflection points—specifically during the liquidation sweep into the 175.610 zone and the subsequent high-momentum recovery rally in late October. This volume profile confirms that institutional liquidity was heavily pooled around these specific price brackets, validating their technical significance as key reference levels for active risk management. On the 4-hour chart, volume behavior transitions from high-volatility expansion spikes during the 30 October breakout to controlled, stable volume output during the subsequent sideways consolidation beneath 177.927. This contraction in volume during tight price consolidation is a classic technical indicator of a pre-breakout compression setup. Traders utilizing volume-weighted frameworks can interpret this contraction as an accumulation phase ahead of the next directional impulse. Momentum oscillators reinforce this synchronized reading. With the daily RSI at 53.68 and the 4-hour RSI at 61.47, the multi-timeframe structure is harmonized in a bullish bias. Neither timeframe exhibits bearish divergence between price peaks and momentum peaks, reducing the probability of an immediate trend reversal and favoring continuation setups upon successful structural breakouts. Risk Management Framework and Execution Strategy

Navigating the current EUR/JPY market structure requires strict adherence to predefined risk-to-reward parameters and structural invalidation levels. Based on the 4-hour chart configuration, long-bias strategies find their logical invalidation point beneath the recent higher-low swing structure established near the 176.370 to 176.970 support confluence. Risk parameters should be structured to account for potential volatility sweeps around the 177.927 resistance level before a clean daily or 4-hour close confirms continuation toward psychological targets higher up on the currency spectrum. Conversely, aggressive counter-trend short strategies would rely on rejection signals directly at the 177.927 resistance ceiling, targeting a mean reversion move back toward the fast moving average baseline near 176.970. However, given the strength of the recent impulsive recovery from the 175.610 floor and the supportive alignment of both daily and 4-hour RSI metrics, continuation strategies aligned with the primary bullish recovery remain statistically favored. Traders must continually monitor volume expansions and candle closes relative to key structural lines to manage open positions effectively.