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Lebanese President Joseph Aoun’s call for national sovereignty during the ongoing conflict has shifted market expectations. The market on Israel suspending its Lebanon offensive by April 30 now sits...

Traders betting against Bitcoin and crypto are witnessing a cascade of liquidations as Iran announces the Strait of Hormuz is fully open to commercial shipping. In the last 24 hours...

Researchers show Anthropic-style exploits can be reproduced with public AI, report claims. Study suggests vulnerability discovery is already cheap and widely accessible. Findings indicate AI cyber capabilities may be spreading...

Foreign demand for Chinese bonds hit a record $179 billion in trading volume in March. The prediction market for China GDP growth in Q1 2026 currently sits...

The IDF published a 40-day operations summary claiming significant degradation of Iran’s military capabilities. The market for Israel military action by April 21 sits at 4.4% YES, down from 38%...

Michael Saylor’s Strategy is using AI-designed $STRC stock to raise billions for Bitcoin purchases, and the Bitcoin price on April 17 market sits at 99.9% YES for exceeding $62,000...

Eric Swalwell has resigned from Congress amid sexual misconduct allegations, and the Polymarket contract “Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31” sits at a definitive 100% YES, fully...

Donald Trump anticipates a US-Iran deal “in a day or two,” according to Axios. The market for Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April is at 65.5%...

Choosing where to bet on the NFL is no longer a simple question of odds or bonuses. The market has split into two distinct models: regulated sportsbooks with strict compliance...

Deutsche Börse acquired a $200 million stake in Kraken, and the UK launched a crypto regulation consultation. Bitcoin’s price prediction for April 19 sits at 99.8% YES. Deutsche Börse’s stake...