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FX.co ★ U.S. Producer Price Index Falls by 0.4% in March, Raising Recession Alarms

U.S. Producer Price Index Falls by 0.4% in March, Raising Recession Alarms

The United States Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a significant slowdown this March, dropping by 0.4% month-over-month, according to recent data updated on April 11, 2025. This follows a stagnant February when the PPI held steady at 0.0%, offering no signs of growth.

This decline in March marks a pointed shift in producer price dynamics for the U.S., as the PPI—an indicator of inflation and a measure of prices paid to producers—failed to gain traction for a second month in a row. The PPI's downward trajectory is poised to stir concerns about underlying deflationary pressures in the economy, potentially signaling looming recessionary vibes.

Analysts are likely to delve deeper into these figures to understand the broad economic implications. The continued downturn underscores a potential cooling in industry demands and warns of softer pricing power in the marketplace, warranting careful observation from both policymakers and market participants in the coming months. The PPI changes suggest navigating the post-pandemic recovery may not be as smooth as previously anticipated.

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