FX.co ★ Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Gauge Edges Up to 4.0% for Q2 2026, Signaling Firmer U.S. Growth Momentum

The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model has nudged its estimate for U.S. economic growth in the second quarter of 2026 higher, pointing to a firmer expansion in real GDP. The tracker now stands at 4.0%, up from a previous reading of 3.7% for the same quarter.

Both the prior and current estimates relate to the second quarter of 2026, with the latest update published on 14 May 2026. The upward revision suggests that incoming data since the last update have modestly strengthened the model’s view of underlying economic momentum, though the GDPNow measure remains a real-time estimate rather than an official forecast or government statistic.