FX.co ★ Atlanta Fed GDPNow Signals Slight Slowdown in U.S. Economic Growth for Q3 2025

The U.S. economy is showing signs of a slight slowdown, according to the latest data from the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model. Updated on October 1, 2025, the model's projection for the third quarter of 2025 shows a marginal decrease to a 3.8% growth rate, compared to the previous estimate of 3.9%.

The GDPNow forecast is closely watched by economists and policymakers for its real-time snapshot of the U.S. economic performance. While the current 3.8% remains a robust figure, it reflects a minor deceleration in growth. Economists are now analyzing various factors that might have contributed to this adjustment in the country's economic trajectory.

This deceleration is of particular interest as policymakers and market participants contemplate the implications of a cooling economy amid ongoing global challenges. As Q3 ends, analysts will be monitoring subsequent data releases to better understand what the future holds for the U.S. economy and its broader impact on global markets.