FX.co ★ Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecasts Moderate Rise in Q4 2025

In a recent update, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model has adjusted its growth estimate for the United States' economic output in the fourth quarter of 2025, slightly increasing the forecast from 5.3% to 5.4%. This projection alteration reflects a modest upward trend, signalling a stable, yet cautiously optimistic, economic outlook for the period.

The adjustment, last updated on January 21, 2026, indicates a consistent growth pattern as the country continues to navigate the complexities of post-pandemic economic recovery. Such marginal increases highlight a resilient trajectory amidst various market fluctuations and persistent inflationary pressures.

With the GDPNow model serving as a critical tool for economic forecasting, this refinement provides essential insights for policymakers, economists, and investors who rely on precise data to steer decisions and strategies in the ever-evolving financial landscape of the United States.