FX.co ★ Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Pegs U.S. Q2 Growth at 3.0%, Signaling Steady Expansion

The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model is estimating U.S. economic growth at an annualized 3.0% for the second quarter of 2026, according to the latest update on 17 June 2026. The nowcast suggests that gross domestic product is tracking at a solid pace, with the current indicator having stopped and reached the 3.0% mark for the period.

While GDPNow is not an official forecast, it is closely watched by markets as a high-frequency gauge of real-time economic momentum. The 3.0% reading for the second quarter of 2026 will likely be parsed by investors and policymakers for clues on the resilience of U.S. activity amid evolving financial and economic conditions. With the estimate now holding at this level, attention will turn to upcoming data releases to see whether the model’s projection is revised higher or lower as the quarter progresses.