FX.co ★ U.S. 1-Year Inflation Expectations Hold Steady at 3.6% in August, NY Fed Survey Shows

Consumer expectations for inflation in the United States remained unchanged in August, according to the latest survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The 1-year inflation expectation held at 3.6%, the same level recorded in July 2026.

The stabilization at 3.6% suggests that, at least over the short term, households’ views on price pressures are neither worsening nor improving. This flat reading could be significant for policymakers and markets, as consumer inflation expectations are closely watched for signs of whether price trends are becoming entrenched in household behavior.

The data, updated on 08 September 2026, indicate that despite ongoing uncertainty around the inflation outlook, U.S. consumers are maintaining a consistent view on where prices are headed over the next year, potentially easing concerns about a renewed surge in inflation expectations.