FX.co ★ EUR/USD technical analysis and trading recommendations for 23/09/2010

4-hour timeframe

Overview:
As expected, the buy signal is continuing with a target at 1.3064. This is a strong and confirmed signal as the price fixed above the Ishimoku cloud and the Chinkou Span is above the price curve. The target level is passed, however, the signs the upward movement comes to an end are not observed. Alongside, the price managed to fix above the first resistance level of 1.3235, which offers the next target of the movement at 1.3422 – the second resistance level. In case this level is passed the further target will be 1.3687 – the third resistance level. If the rebound from this level occurs, a correctional movement can start. When the MACD reverses down, the long positions should be cut manually. In case, the price is below the Kijun-Sen (1.3230) that will denote the weakening of the current signal and the point to reduce long positions. The Chinkou Span is above the price chart, which is a confirmation of the current buy signal. The Bollinger Bands show the upward movement, the lines are diverging and directed upside. The MACD is ascending thus demonstrating the current upturn.

Trading recommendations:

Currently, it is recommended to trade long with the target at 1.3687. Stop-loss is set below 1.3482. If the MACD reverses down, the long positions should be cut manually. We enter the market only after price fixes above 1.3422.

In addition to technical image one should take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

The chart annotation:
Ishimoku indicator:
Tenkan-sen — red line
Kijun-Sen — blue line
Senkou Span A — light brown stipple line
Senkou Span B — light purple stipple line
Chinkou Span — green line
Bollinger Bands indicator:
3 yellow lines
MACD indicator:
The red line and the histogram with the white bars in the indicators window.