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Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin. His public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
This event pertains to a speech or public statement given by a Federal Reserve official named Schmid. Being one of the many officials that form the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), speeches by Schmid are of interest to investors and economists due to the potential influence they can have on monetary policy and economic perspectives.
Depending on the content and context of the speech, it may offer insights or hints about future policy changes, current economic conditions, and the Fed's forecasts. As such, this event can significantly impact the financial markets depending on the perceived significance of the sentiments or information communicated.
Net purchases of U.S treasury bonds & notes by major foreign sector. (Negative figures indicate net sales by foreigners to U.S residents or a net outflow of capital from the United States.) A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
This indicator shows the Sum of [(U.S. securities + Foreign stocks and bonds (Negative figures indicate net sales by foreigners to U.S residents or a net outflow of capital from the United States.) Minus estimated unrecorded principal repayments to foreigners on domestic corporate and agency asset-backed securities + estimated foreign acquisitions of U.S. equities through stock swaps - estimated U.S. acquisitions of foreign equities through stock swaps + increase in nonmarketable Treasury Bonds and Notes Issued to Official Institutions and Other Residents of Foreign Countries)+(monthly changes in banks' and broker/dealers' custody liabilities.)+(TIC, Change in Banks' Own Net Dollar- Denominated Liabilities)] TIC data cover most components of international financial flows, but do not include data on direct investment flows, which are collected and published by the Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Treasury International Capital (TIC) Net Long-Term Transactions measures the difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by U.S. citizens and U.S. long-term securities purchased by foreign investors. Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
TIC Net Long-Term Transactions number is the sum of gross purchases by foreigners from US residents minus gross sales by foreigners to US residents. The components used to calculate long term flows are US Treasury bonds and notes, US government agency bonds, US corporate bonds, US corporate stocks, foreign bonds and foreign stocks. (TIC signifies: Treasury International Capital Flows). A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative.
The Business NZ Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. It gives an indication about the health of the manufacturing section and production growth in New Zealand.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.
The Fed balance sheet is a statement listing the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve System. Details of the Fed's balance sheet are disclosed by the Fed in a weekly report called "Factors Affecting Reserve Balances."
Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks is the amount of money that depository institutions maintain in their accounts at their regional Federal Reserve Banks.
The Food Price Index (FPI) measures the change in the cost of food and food services purchased by households.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the NZD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the NZD.
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the KRW, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the KRW.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the KRW, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the KRW.
Foreign Bonds Buying number measures the flow from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. The Net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow. A positive difference indicates net sales of foreign securities by residents (capital inflow), and a negative difference indicates net purchases of foreign securities by residents (capital outflow). A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the JPY, while a lower than expected number as negative.
Balance of payments is a set of accounts recording all economic transactions between the residents of the country and the rest of the world in a given period of time, usually one year. Payments into the country are called credits, payments out of the country are called debits. There are three main components of a balance of payments: - current account - capital account - financial account Either a surplus or a deficit can be shown in any of these components. Balance of payments shows strenghts and weaknesses in a country's economy and therefore helps to achieve balanced economic growth. The release of a balance of payments can have a significant effect on the exchange rate of a national currency against other currencies. It is also important to investors of domestic companies that depend on exports. Securities investment, contract basis. Securities investment refers to flows from the public sector excluding Bank of Japan. Bonds include beneficiary certificates but exclude all bills. The Net data shows the difference of capital inflow and outflow.
Exports of goods and services consist of transactions in goods and services (sales, barter, gifts or grants) from residents to non-residents.
Exports of goods and services consist of transactions in goods and services (sales, barter, gifts or grants) from residents to non-residents.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the SGD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the SGD.
The Thomson Reuters IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) is a key economic calendar event for South Korea that gauges the overall confidence and financial outlook of consumers in the country. The index is based on a comprehensive survey conducted by the global research firm Ipsos and data provider Thomson Reuters, which polls thousands of individuals on various aspects of personal financial situations and general economic conditions.
A higher PCSI score indicates increased consumer optimism, which often translates into stronger spending habits and healthier economic growth. Conversely, a lower score suggests more pessimism among consumers, potentially leading to reduced spending and slower economic growth. Investors and policymakers keep a close eye on the PCSI, as changes in consumer sentiment can have significant impacts on the performance of the national economy.
As a forward-looking indicator, the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI offers valuable insights into the future trajectory of the South Korean economy, providing valuable information for traders, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions.
The Thomson Reuters IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) is a monthly economic indicator that measures the overall confidence and sentiment of Indian consumers. The index is based on a survey conducted by research firm IPSOS in collaboration with Thomson Reuters, one of the world's leading providers of economic data and insights.
The PCSI is calculated using a sample of Indian consumers, who are asked about their perceptions and expectations concerning the economy, jobs, personal finances, and their willingness to make major purchases. The survey results are used to calculate the index value, with a higher score indicating stronger consumer confidence and a more optimistic outlook for the economy.
Investors, economists, and policymakers closely monitor the PCSI as it provides valuable insights into India's consumer market, predicting consumer behavior, and its potential impact on the country's economic growth. Changes in the PCSI can affect financial markets, currency exchange rates, and impact decisions on monetary and fiscal policies.
The Thomson Reuters IPSOS Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) is a monthly economic calendar event that provides valuable insight into consumer confidence and sentiment in Australia. This important indicator is closely monitored by market analysts, economists, and policymakers, as it has the potential to significantly impact the nation's economy.
Consisting of a comprehensive survey conducted by global research firm IPSOS in partnership with Thomson Reuters, the PCSI measures consumers' current and future outlooks on various economic factors. These include personal finances, employment prospects, investment climate, and overall economic conditions. A higher-than-expected result implies consumer optimism and increased spending, which can positively affect the growth of the Australian economy. Conversely, a lower-than-expected result signifies consumer pessimism, potentially leading to reduced spending and slower economic growth.
As a valuable tool for both short-term traders and long-term investors, the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI is released in the middle of each month, and its results can significantly impact the Australian stock market, currency pair values (such as AUD/USD), and other local financial instruments. Therefore, keeping a close eye on this economic calendar event is crucial for those seeking to assess the health of the Australian economy and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
The Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI, also known as the Primary Consumer Sentiment Index, is a monthly economic calendar event for Japan that measures the overall consumer sentiment in the country. It is an important and widely-watched indicator of consumer confidence, as it offers insights into the Japanese public's perception of the economy and their financial situation.
This index is calculated using a combination of data collected from numerous sources, including surveys and questionnaires conducted by Thomson Reuters and the global research firm IPSOS. These surveys ask a representative sample of the Japanese population about their views on various aspects of the economy, such as personal finance, job security, government policy, and overall economic conditions.
A higher than expected reading of the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI generally indicates increased optimism among consumers, potentially signaling increased spending and a stronger economy. Conversely, a lower than expected reading may be a sign of decreased consumer confidence and potential economic slowdown.
Investors and analysts closely monitor the Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI, as it provides valuable information about the country's economic health and can influence government policy as well as financial markets, including currency values and the stock market. Positive consumer sentiment can lead to increased consumer spending, which boosts overall economic growth, while negative sentiment can dampen spending and slow the economy.
The Thomson Reuters Ipsos Monthly Global Primary Consumer Sentiment Index is a composite index of 11 questions that run monthly via online polls in the countries surveyed. The data output is based on the views of a fresh, randomly selected representative sample each month of primary consumers aged 18-64 in the US and Canada and aged 16-62 in other countries. Primary consumers are a comparable, standardized and weighted group in each country based on a minimum level of education and income. The eleven questions capture consumer views on: 1. Current overall economic situation in country 2. Current state of economy in local area 3. Expectations of local economy in six months 4. Current personal financial situation rating 5. Expectations of personal financial situation in six months 6. Comfort in making major purchases 7. Comfort in making other household purchases 8. Confidence about job security 9. Confidence in ability to invest in the future 10. Experience with job loss as a result of economic conditions 11. Expectations of job loss as a result of economic conditions
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the MYR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the MYR.
The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) in an index of consumer prices calculated and published by Eurostat, the Statistical Office of the European Union (EU), on the basis of a statistical methodology that has been harmonised across all EU Member States. HICP is a measure of prices used by the Governing Council of EU to define and assess price stability in the euro area as a whole in quantitative terms.The HICP are designed expressly for international comparisons of consumer price inflation across EU Member States. these harmonized inflation figures will be used to inform decisions on which Member States meet price stability convergence criterion for EMU. However, they are not intended to replace existing national Consumer Price Indices (CPIs). The coverage of the indices is based on the EU classification COICOP (classification of individual consumption by purpose).
Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) in an index of consumer prices calculated and published by Eurostat, the Statistical Office of the European Union (EU), on the basis of a statistical methodology that has been harmonised across all EU Member States. HICP is a measure of prices used by the Governing Council of EU to define and assess price stability in the euro area as a whole in quantitative terms.The HICP are designed expressly for international comparisons of consumer price inflation across EU Member States. these harmonized inflation figures will be used to inform decisions on which Member States meet price stability convergence criterion for EMU. However, they are not intended to replace existing national Consumer Price Indices (CPIs). The coverage of the indices is based on the EU classification COICOP (classification of individual consumption by purpose).
The End Year Consumer Price Index (CPI) Forecast is an important economic indicator for Turkey. It provides an estimation of the inflation rate by the end of a given year. The inflation rate is an essential component of a country's economy, representing the overall change in the price level of goods and services over a specific period, typically a year.
Investors, policymakers, and businesses pay close attention to the End Year CPI Forecast as it helps them make informed decisions regarding their investment strategies, monetary policies, and pricing adjustments to better cope with potential changes in the inflation rate. Higher inflation rates may lead to increased interest rates and reduced consumer spending, affecting the overall economic growth. Conversely, lower inflation rates can stimulate economic growth through lower interest rates and increased consumption.
Overall, the End Year CPI Forecast serves as a crucial economic tool for Turkey, allowing various stakeholders to anticipate and react to changes in the inflation rate and make necessary adjustments for a stable and growing economy.
Net Forward Position= Bank of Thailand s forward obligations to buy (+) or sell;(-) foreign currency against Thai Baht A swap that involves the exchange of principal and interest in one currency for the same in another currency. It is considered to be a foreign exchange transaction and is not required by law to be shown on a company's balance sheet.
Total of a country's gold holdings and convertible foreign currencies held in its central bank. Usually includes foreign currencies themselves, other assets denominated in foreign currencies, and particular amount of special drawing rights (SDRs). A foreign exchange reserve is a useful precaution for countries exposed to financial crises. It can be used for the purpose of intervening in the exchange market to influence or peg the exchange rate. International reserves = Gold Foreign exchange Special Drawing Rights Reserve position in the IMF.
The Italian Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
The Italian Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
The Italian Consumer Price Index (CPI) Ex Tobacco is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the price of goods and services purchased by households in Italy, excluding tobacco products. The data is released monthly by the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) and is used to analyze inflation trends within the country.
As tobacco prices can be influenced by various external factors, excluding them from the CPI provides a clearer picture of the overall inflation rate. The index captures price changes for a diverse range of goods and services, allowing economists and market participants to gauge the purchasing power of the Italian consumers.
A higher than expected reading signals an increase in inflation, which could potentially lead to an increase in interest rates and a strengthening of the Italian currency. Conversely, a lower than expected reading could signal weaker inflation, prompting the possibility of lower interest rates or other easing measures by the central bank to stimulate economic growth.
Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, is the same as CPI, but with a joint basket of products for all Eurozone member countries. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, is the same as CPI, but with a joint basket of products for all Eurozone member countries. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
Russian Forex Intervention is an economic event where the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) actively participates in the foreign exchange market to control the volatility and value of the Russian Ruble. The intervention is usually done by buying or selling foreign currencies, mainly the US Dollar and the Euro, to stabilize and influence the Ruble's exchange rate.
The central bank's intervention aims to maintain a specific exchange rate target or a target range to prevent excessive fluctuations that could adversely affect the country's economic stability and growth. The intervention can also help the central bank manage inflation, foreign investments, and balance of payments.
Investors and traders closely monitor Russian Forex Intervention events, as they can significantly impact the Ruble's value and create opportunities for trading and investing. An understanding of the intervention can provide valuable insight into the CBR's monetary policies and the overall economic environment in Russia.
Bank of England (BOE) Governor Andrew Bailey (Mar 2020 - Mar 2028) is to speak. As head of the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) which controls short term interest rates, Bailey has more influence over sterling's value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements for clues regarding future monetary policy. His comments may spark a short-term positive or negative trend.
The IGP-10 Inflation Rate measures the change in the price of goods and services from last month's 11th day to the current month's 10th. A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL.
International reserves are used to settle balance of payments deficits between countries. International reserves are made up of foreign currency assets, gold, holdings of SDRs and reserve position in the IMF. Usually includes foreign currencies themselves, other assets denominated in foreign currencies, and particular amount of special drawing rights (SDRs). A foreign exchange reserve is a useful precaution for countries exposed to financial crises. It can be used for the purpose of intervening in the exchange market to influence or peg the exchange rate. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the INR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the INR.
The IBC-Br is widely considered to reflect gross domestic product data. It is the Index of Economic Activity of the Central Bank in BrazilA higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the BRL , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the BRL.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation. Usually a rise in PPI will lead in a short time to a rise in CPI and therefore to a rising interest rates and rising currency. during recession, the producers are not able to roll over the rising cost of material to the consumer, so a rise in PPI will not be rolled over to the consumer but will lower the profitablility of the producer and will deepen the recession, that will lead to a fall in local currency.
The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figureA higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the PLN , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the PLN.
NIESR’s short-term predictions of monthly GDP growth will be based on bottom-up analysis of recent trends in the monthly sub-components of GDP. These predictions will be constructed by aggregating statistical model forecasts of ten sub-components of GDP. The statistical models that have been developed make use of past trends in the data as well as survey evidence to build short-term predictions of the sub-components of monthly GDP. These will provide a statistically-based guide to current trends based on the latest available data.
The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change in the general level of prices of goods and services bought by households over a specified period of time. It compares a household's cost for a specific basket of finished goods and services with the cost of the same basket during an earlier benchmark period. The consumer price index is used as a measurement of and is a key economic figure. Likely impact: 1) Interest Rates: Larger-than-expected quarterly increase in price inflation or increasing trend is considered inflationary; this will cause bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. 2) Stock Prices: Higher than expected price inflation is bearish on the stock market as higher inflation will lead to higher interest rates. 3) Exchange Rates: High inflation has an uncertain effect. It would lead to depreciation as higher prices mean lower competitiveness. Conversely, higher inflation causes higher interest rates and a tighter monetary policy that leads to an appreciation.
Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans. A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the RUB, while a lower than expected number as negative
Housing starts measures the change in the annualized number of new residential buildings that began construction during the reported month. It is a leading indicator of strength in the housing sector.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
Foreign Securities Purchases measures the overall value of domestic stocks, bonds, and money-market assets purchased by foreign investors.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.
Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians is a set of accounts recording all economic transactions between the residents of the country and the rest of the world in a given period of time. A high number indicates currency outflow (residents buy foreign securities, therefore change their CADs to the foreign currecny), therefor a higher than expected number would be dovish for the CAD, while a lower than expected number would be bullish.
The Capacity Utilization Rate is the percentage of production capacity being utilized in the U.S.(available resources includes factories, mines and utilities). Capacity Utilization reflects overall growth and demand in the economy. It can also act as a leading indicator of consumer price inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.