FX.co ★ Dollar index weekly analysis

The Dollar index has made no real progress for the last year as price is again where it was at the end of 2018. Price is stalling around a major Fibonacci retracement, with weakly bearish divergence signs.

Red lines - bullish channel

Blue line - bearish divergence

The Dollar index is trading inside a bullish channel since mid 2018. Price has not broken the lower channel boundary that was recently tested. This is a sign of strength on behalf of the bulls. However we should not ignore that the RSI is diverging and we are at the major 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a potential reversal area so we need to keep a close eye on last week's lows. Holding above it will be a sign of strength for bulls. Breaking below it will be a big win for bears.