FX.co ★ USD/CAD technical analysis for December 30, 2010

Support levels: 0.9980, 0.9930, 0.9820
Resistance levels: 1.0212, 1.0290, 1.0380
On a 4-hour graph the USD/CAD is testing the support level near 0.9980-1.0000 again. Most of 2010 this level demonstrated substantial demand since Canadian companies tend to buy dollars for lower price. As mentioned before, the breakout of support level at 0.99880 will allow this pair to reach 0.9930.
Nevertheless, if a reversal takes place and the USD/CAD breaks the 1.0212 resistance level, this will lead to upside motion with the target to 1.0290. Further breakout of 1.0380 will denote the end of a rollback from 1.0680 and that further advance should be expected. Moreover, the breakthrough of 1.0380 will point to the formation of “Triple Bottom”.
In the midterm the currency pair will probably remain within the limits of its wide range between 1.0000 and 1.0750-1.0850. Nonetheless, in case the reversal takes place, then the breakout of 1.0680 will confirm that the consolidation ended and that the downtrend with 1.3063 is broken through. In this case it is expected that the USD/CAD will move upside to the Fibonacci correction level 38.2 from 1.3063 to 0.9929 at 1.1126 with the next target to the Fibonacci correction level 61.8 at 1.1866.