FX.co ★ EUR/USD hot forecast on 22 April

EUR/USD has lost its traction after rising toward 1.0850 in the early American session but continues to trade above 1.0800. The data from the US showed that the business activity in the private sector expanded at a softer pace than expected in early April with the S&P Global Composite PMI declining to 55.1 from 57.7.

With the latest drop witnessed in the early European session, EUR/USD crossed below the 20-period and the 50-period SMAs on the four-hour chart. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator retreated below 50, pointing to a bearish shift in the near term.

On the downside, 1.0800 (psychological level) aligns as the first support. In case this level turns into resistance, further losses toward 1.0760 (post-ECB low) and 1.0730 (April 24, 2020, low) could follow.

1.0830 (20-period SMA, 50-period SMA) forms the initial resistance ahead of 1.0850 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement of the April downtrend) and 1.0880 (100-period SMA).