FX.co ★ Wave analysis for EUR/USD on July 14, 2021

EUR/USD, H1 time frame:

The bearish trend continues its development. At the moment, we are in the final part of a large correction wave 4. This wave takes the form of a triple zigzag [W]-[X]-[Y]-[X]-[Z], in which only the last sub-wave [Z] is not completed.

Judging by the internal structure, wave [Z] takes a double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y) form. The sub-wave (W) is a double zigzag, and the second active sub-wave (Y) most likely takes the form of a simple zigzag A-B-C.

In the second half of June, the price finished forming the upward correction B, which consists of sub-waves [W]-[X]-[Y]. After that, the bears led the price down in an impulse wave C. It seems that the sub-waves [1]-[2]-[3]-[4] are fully done, which formed the C wave. But for its full completion, a sub-wave [5] is needed.

As shown on the chart, the EUR/USD pair is expected to further decline in sub-waves (3)-(4)-(5) in the near future, that is, to the level of 1.1688. At the specified level, the values of the impulses A and C will be equal.

Since there is a high probability of reaching the specified price level, one should consider opening sell trades.