Analysis of transactions in the EUR / USD pair
EUR/USD hit 1.1453 at a time when the MACD line was moving above zero. That prompted a signal to buy in the market, which led to a 20-pip increase in the pair. There were no other signals for the rest of the day.
Industrial output in Italy, as well as the economic bulletin from the European Central Bank, led to an increase in euro yesterday. At the same time, US data on producer prices and jobless claims disappointed markets because a slowdown was seen in the indices.
Most likely, the rally will continue because strong data from the Euro area are expected today. Reports on Germany's GDP and Italy's consumer prices are upcoming, followed by data on the foreign trade balance in France and the whole eurozone. There will also be a speech from ECB Chief Christine Lagarde, which, if hints at a tighter monetary policy, could prompt more long positions in the market.
In the afternoon, the US will release data on industrial output and retail sales, which could provoke volatility in the markets. Consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan will also play a role, that is, it may force EUR/USD to decline if the figure is better than expected. Statements from FOMC member John Williams will end the day.
For long positions:
Buy euro when the quote reaches 1.1491 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1542. Growth will occur if the upcoming data on the Eurozone exceed expectations.
Before buying, make sure that the MACD line is above zero, or is starting to rise from it. It is also possible to buy at 1.1464, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1491 and 1.1542.
For short positions:
Sell euro when the quote reaches 1.1464 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.1415. EUR/USD will decline if GDP in Germany and foreign trade balance in the Euro area turn out weaker than projected.
Before selling, make sure that the MACD line is below zero, or is starting to move down from it. Euro could also be sold at 1.1491, however, the MACD line should be in the overbought area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.1464 and 1.1415.
What's on the chart:
The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the EUR/USD pair.
The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.
The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the EUR/USD pair.
The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.
MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.