As of this writing, USD/CHF is trading near 0.9660, down from an intra-month high of 1.0049 (the last time the price was near this mark was in May 2022 and in May 2019).
Despite today's renewed dollar strength, the USD/CHF remains under strong negative pressure after yesterday's unexpected decision by the Swiss Nation Bank to raise interest rates.
As SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan said yesterday, the Swiss franc is no longer grossly overvalued, i.e. it accepts the possibility of further strengthening of the franc, which the SNB so consistently fought against recently by keeping the interest rate on deposits at a record low of -0.75% and intervening in the trading market with the sale of the franc.
Yesterday, USD/CHF reached a local low of 0.9629, breaking through an important support level of 0.9670 (50 EMA on the daily chart and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement to the downward wave that began in April 2019 near 1.0235).
The breakdown of yesterday's local low may become a driver of further USD/CHF decline towards the local support level of 0.9555, the breakdown of which, in turn, will strengthen the negative dynamics of USD/CHF, sending it to the zone of key support levels 0.9435 (200 EMA on the weekly chart) and 0.9415 (200 EMA on the daily chart), separating the long-term bullish trend of the pair from the bearish one.
In an alternative scenario, and in view of the renewed strengthening of the dollar, an upward correction may begin from the current levels. The first signal to resume long positions will be a breakdown of the important resistance level 0.9731 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart). In case of a breakdown of the resistance level 0.9820 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart), USD/CHF is likely to continue rising towards recent highs above 1.0000.
Support levels: 0.9630, 0.9555, 0.9500, 0.9495, 0.9475, 0.9435, 0.9415, 0.9380, 0.9325
Resistance levels: 0.9670, 0.9731, 0.9800, 0.9820, 0.9900, 0.9970, 1.0000, 1.0060
Sell Stop 0.9615. Stop-Loss 0.9715. Take-Profit 0.9555, 0.9500, 0.9495, 0.9475, 0.9435, 0.9415, 0.9380, 0.9325
Buy Stop 0.9715. Stop-Loss 0.9615. Take-Profit 0.9731, 0.9800, 0.9820, 0.9900, 0.9970, 1.0000, 1.0060