FX.co ★ Forecast for USD/JPY on December 1, 2022

The yen continues to move according to our main scenario. Yesterday, the price almost touched one of the embedded price channel lines and fell sharply, closing the day at 138.65. In today's Asian session, the price crossed the support at 137.00 and now it intends to go lower, to the target level of 135.23. I am waiting for the price convergence with the Marlin oscillator (the dashed line on the chart).

The price may also cross 135.23 and there might not be a convergence, but that would require a collapse in the stock market. Surely it can happen, but so far there are no clear technical conditions for that. So let us not get ahead of the situation and just wait for the USD/JPY to test 135.23.

On the four-hour chart, the price has not yet settled below 137.00. There could be a convergence with the Marlin oscillator. Or it may not happen (if the pair falls according to the main scenario), but it might settle before the release of tomorrow's US employment report.