FX.co ★ Forecast for AUD/USD on October 4, 2023

AUD/USD

Yesterday, the Australian dollar lost 62 pips and reached the key support level at 0.6295. On the daily chart, the Marlin oscillator isn't prone to fall further, so the price could correct higher and return to the 0.6388-0.6514 range. However, if the price firmly consolidates below 0.6295, it may fall towards the next key support level at 0.6171.

Today, US PMIs will be released, and they could provide the initial impetus for further developments. Crucial US employment data will be released on Friday.

On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently moving below both indicator lines, and the Marlin oscillator suggests the potential for a corrective reversal.

The price could reach the target level at 0.6388, which is approaching the MACD line, even without risking the downtrend. If the price firmly settles above 0.6388, the Australian dollar may rise further, with the target at 0.6514.