FX.co ★ EUR/USD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for October 18, 2013

Daily overview:

The price zone of 1.3560-1.3600 represented a valuable supply zone that kept the price below for almost two months. The pair was showing some bearish rejection manifested in the daily candlesticks of the previous weeks as well as seen on October 10, a bearish engulfing daily candlestick. However, lack of bearish follow-up was witnessed around 1.3480. Instead, a signficant bullish rejection was expressed leading to a Flag continuation pattern.

According to the final readings of the European Statistical Office on Wednesday, European inflation hits 1.1% in September, according to preliminary projections it is settled at 1.3% in August. This constituted to the recent bullish jump that took place yesterday.

The price level of 1.3560 is the upper limit of the most recent congestion zone. That is why the price action should be watched in the short-term as persistence of the current breakthrough and fixation above it enabled the pair to reach 1.3700 corresponding to an established high in Jan 2013.

After hiting 1.3700 at the end of last week, investors are waiting for Today's US releases in order to define a clearer trend in the pair. However, the situation remains nearer to profit taking towards 1.3620-1.3600 initially.

The projection target of the depicted Flag pattern is roughly located around 1.3800. However, technically the pair may need some time to achieve such a target having important levels on its way.