FX.co ★ Forecast for USD/JPY on January 14, 2025

The USD/JPY pair quickly retreated from the 159.32 level after a false breakout on Friday. While the price is still aiming to break above this level, its movement is constrained by a weak divergence that has already formed on the daily chart.

Due to these opposing forces, the price may remain within the range of 156.04 to 159.32 until the Bank of Japan meeting on January 24. On the 4-hour chart, Friday's price surge was halted by the MACD line, causing the price to drop back below the 158.32 level, where it subsequently consolidated, including below the balance line. The Marlin oscillator has settled in the descending half.

Overall, moderate pressure is being exerted on the currency pair. The 158.32 level is being reinforced by the approaching MACD line, and the price is moving toward the lower half of the expected range of 156.04 to 159.32.