FX.co ★ EUR/USD. Daily Overview on July 18, 2025

Trend Analysis (Fig. 1):

On Friday, the market may start an upward move from the 1.1560 level (yesterday's daily close), targeting 1.1638 – the 50% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, a continued downward move may follow, with a target of 1.1560 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line).

Fig. 1 (Daily Chart)

Comprehensive Analysis:

• Indicator analysis – downward
• Fibonacci levels – downward
• Volume – downward
• Candlestick analysis – downward
• Trend analysis – downward
• Bollinger Bands – downward
• Weekly chart – downward

Overall conclusion: bearish trend.

Alternative scenario:Today, the price may start an upward move from the 1.1560 level (yesterday's daily close), targeting 1.1636 – the 50% retracement level (yellow dashed line). Upon testing this level, a pullback down to 1.1538 – the 50% retracement level (red dashed line) is possible. From that level, a rebound upward may follow toward 1.1560 – the 61.8% retracement level (red dashed line).