FX.co ★ Gold analysis for May 12, 2014

Overview

Since our last analysis, gold has been trading downwards. As we expected, the price tested and rejected our support level at 1,277.50. As you can see in the chart, our support level is held at 1,277.00 successfully, and that caused price to start upward movement and test the level of 1,303.58. According to the 4H timeframe, we can observe demand on volume above the average, which is a sign that selling at this stage looks risky. According to the daily chart (Friday bar), we can observe low volume doji candle, which is a sign for indecision. I found potential resistance level at the price of 1,304.00 (swing low). If the price breaks the level of 1,304.00 on higher volume, we may see possible tetsting the level of 1,315.00 (previous swing high).

Daily pivot Fibonacci points:

Resistance levels:

R1: 1,288.33

R2: 1,291.07

R3: 1,295.50

Support levels:

S1: 1,279.47

S2: 1,276.73

S3: 1,272.30

Trading recommendation: Trading the metal, be careful with short-term selling since our support level at the price of 1,277.00 held successfully