FX.co ★ EUR/USD Under 1.2000 Today - Analysis July 23, 2012

EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Last week the EUR/USD pair was trading in an upward move developing corrective wave (4) (coloured green) of the bigger (5) wave (coloured orange). During the Friday's European and New York sessions we could observe a strong descending movement towards the 1.2142 level. Today this major pair opened Asian session with 20 pips gap and price is currently trading around 1.2110 level. At the moment the EUR/USD pair is developing the last (5) wave (coloured green) of the bigger (5) (coloured orange) and we are expecting to see price under 1.2000 level today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 retraces 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets by measuring 1 wave with Take Profit at 1.1983 (100% of wave 1). Resistance at 1.2175 point can be used as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the EU Consumer Confidence data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.2057 (S2) 1.2110 (S1) 1.2142 (PP) 1.2195 (R1) 1.2248 (R2) 1.2280 (R3) 1.2333
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.2105 with Stop Loss 1.2175 and Take Profit at 1.1983 are recommended.