FX.co ★ EUR/USD Wave Analysis July 24, 2012

EUR/USD Elliott Wave
Since our Last analysis the EUR/USD pair was trading in an upward move developing corrective wave 4 (coloured blue) of the bigger (5) wave (coloured green). During the early European session we could observe a descending movement towards the 1.2070 level and we can consider this move as the end of the impulsive 3 wave (coloured blue). Therefore, during the New York session this major pair started pushing higher and price filled Monday gap at 1.2148 level and we can regard this move as the end of the 4 wave (coloured blue). Today the EUR/USD pair started pushing lower developing final 5 wave (coloured blue) of the bigger (5) wave (coloured green). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 5 retraces 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets by measuring 1 wave with Take Profit at 1.1983 (100% of wave 1). Resistance at 1.2150 point can be used as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the EU German Flash Manufacturing PMI, German Flash Services PMI, Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI, BBA Mortgage Approvals and U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks, Flash Manufacturing PMI data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.2032 (S2) 1.2061 (S1) 1.2080 (PP) 1.2109 (R1) 1.2138 (R2) 1.2157 (R3) 1.2186
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.2100 with Stop Loss 1.2150 and Take Profit at 1.1983 are recommended