FX.co ★ Gold wave analysis for September 30, 2015

Gold price continues to trade inside the short-term bearish channel, but in what I believe to be a wave 2. The price is approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which is an important support and a highly probable reversal level. I prefer long positions with stop at $1,100.

Green lines - long-term triangle pattern

Gold is testing the Ichimoku cloud and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. If this is a wave 2, we should see an upward reversal soon. The form of the decline in 3 waves is corrective so far. This complies with my view. We are in wave 2.

The weekly chart shows how this week's candle is testing the tenkan-sen support, so bulls will need to step in and push the price higher. If this does not happen and the week closes below the tenkan-sen, a new rejection at the kijun-sen will be bearish reversal and bearish sign that would signal approaching new lows.