FX.co ★ Technical analysis of USDX for August 10, 2016

The Dollar index is showing signs of a bearish reversal as we see a minor rejection at resistance levels by Fibo levels and cloud resistance. As I mentioned in my last analysis it is important for bulls to break above 96.30-96.50 in order to confirm the bullish reversal after the NFP numbers from last week.

With oscillators diverging in the 4 hour chart and turning lower, with a possible rejection at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the decline and at the top cloud boundary, Dollar bulls may be in danger of seeing a new move lower below 95. Short-term resistance at 96.30-96.50. Support is at 95.60.

The weekly chart shows that the start of the week finds bulls trying to break above the lower Kumo boundary while the oscillators are turning lower. Is this a lower high in the making?Maybe yes, as long as price is below 96.50 the chances of a deeper pull back below 95 are high.