FX.co ★ Technical analysis of USDX for November 4, 2016

The Dollar index bounced higher but not as strong as I expected. Price remains in a bearish trend which could change today after the US NFP report.

Black lines - bearish channel

The Dollar index is trying to break above the short-term Tenkan-Sen resistance (red line indicator). The price is inside the bearish channel. Both oscillators are giving bullish divergence signals. This is a warning for Dollar bears. The NFP today could provide a good excuse to break out above the bearish channel.

The weekly chart remains bearish moving towards our back test target of 96.50. However, if the NFP numbers announced are positive, we should expect a bounce. Overall, I believe the dollar index is facing an important high and a new down trend has started. Bounces should be seen as opportunities to sell.