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FX.co ★ Treasuries Close Roughly Flat After Early Volatility

Treasuries Close Roughly Flat After Early Volatility

Following early market fluctuations in response to the monthly employment report, treasury securities experienced a generally uninspiring performance throughout most of the trading session on Friday.

Government bond prices predominantly hovered at a steady point before settling close to their starting point. Consequently, the yield on the key ten-year note, which inversely relates to its price, fell by less than one basis point to 4.089 percent.

This minimal decrease continued a recent downward trajectory for the ten-year yield, taking it to its lowest closure position in over a month.

The Labor Department's closely monitored report was the cause of the initial market unsettledness. It revealed more robust job growth than anticipated in February but also had significant downward amendments to job growth in the preceding two months.

According to the Labor Department, non-agricultural employment surged by 275,000 positions in February, exceeding economists' predictions of a 200,000 job increase.

In contrast, job growth in December and January was downwardly revised to 290,000 and 229,000 jobs, respectively, indicating an overall downward correction of 167,000 jobs.

Additionally, the Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9 percent in February from 3.7 percent in January, contrary to economists' forecast for a steady rate.

The downward job growth adjustments and surprising increase in the unemployment rate, when compounded with slowing annual wage growth, have fostered hopes the Federal Reserve will commence interest rate cuts from June.

However, trading activity diminished as the day advanced, seemingly due to investor hesitance to make significant moves before the release of crucial inflation data next week, which could profoundly influence interest rate prospects.

Amidst next week's expected focus on consumer and producer price inflation data, market participants will likely monitor reports on retail sales, industrial productivity, and consumer sentiment.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade
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