The Indonesian stock market has witnessed an upward trajectory over the past two consecutive sessions, accumulating nearly 280 points, equating to a 3% increase. As a result, the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) now stands slightly above the 7,325 points threshold, and the momentum suggests it might continue its ascent on Thursday.
Globally, the outlook for the Asian markets is optimistic, driven by improved interest rate forecasts, although geopolitical tensions may temper the potential gains. Both European and U.S. markets experienced increases, and Asian exchanges are anticipated to follow suit at their opening.
On Wednesday, the JCI ended significantly higher, reflecting advances across sectors including food, finance, telecommunications, cement, and resources. The index surged by 130.75 points, or 1.82%, closing at 7,326.76, within a trading range of 7,187.48 to 7,328.32.
Among active stocks, Bank CIMB Niaga rose by 0.86%; Bank Mandiri saw a growth of 1.59%; Bank Danamon Indonesia climbed 0.40%; Bank Negara Indonesia ascended by 3.56%; and Bank Rakyat Indonesia increased by 2.59%. Conversely, Bank Maybank Indonesia decreased by 0.92%. Other notable performers included Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison, which increased 1.99%, Indocement at 1.09%, and Semen Indonesia, which surged 4.56%. Indofood Sukses Makmur improved 0.96%, United Tractors advanced 1.75%, Astra International gained 1.95%, and Energi Mega Persada surged 3.42%. Astra Agro Lestari rose 2.04%, Aneka Tambang added 1.03%, Jasa Marga increased 2.69%, Vale Indonesia advanced 4.84%, Timah skyrocketed 9.77%, and Bumi Resources gained 1.46%, with Bank Central Asia remaining unchanged.
Wall Street's influence is positive, as major indices opened on a strong note and maintained gains throughout Wednesday, culminating in record closing highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 308.51 points or 0.69% to 45,014.04. The NASDAQ rose by 254.21 points or 1.30%, reaching 19,735.12, while the S&P 500 added 36.61 points or 0.61% to settle at 6,086.49.
Wall Street's buoyancy stemmed from optimism regarding interest rate prospects, following the release of softer-than-expected U.S. economic data. According to payroll processor ADP, U.S. private sector employment rose slightly less than anticipated in November. Additionally, the Institute for Supply Management revealed that U.S. service sector growth decelerated more than predicted last month.
Consequent to the data, CME Group's FedWatch Tool suggests a 75.5% probability of the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates by 25 basis points later this month. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a cautious stance towards rate cuts, citing the economy's persistent strength as justification for prudence in his afternoon remarks.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices saw a decline on Wednesday, affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and political instability in South Korea and France. Consequently, West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January closed at $68.54 per barrel, reflecting a decrease of $1.40 or 2%.