FX.co ★ US Inflation Expectations Fall to 5-Month Low

In June 2025, U.S. consumer inflation expectations for the upcoming year decreased to 3%, down from 3.2% in May, marking the lowest level in five months. However, anticipated price changes for various commodities showed increases: gasoline prices rose by 1.5 percentage points to 4.2%; medical care costs escalated by 1.9 percentage points to 9.3%, reaching their highest since June 2023; college education expenses also climbed by 1.6 percentage points to 9.1%; and rent increased by 0.7 percentage points to 9.1%. The median expected change in food prices for the next year held steady at 5.5%, and median home price growth expectations remained constant at 3.0%. Meanwhile, long-term inflation expectations for the three-year and five-year periods stayed unchanged at 3.0% and 2.6%, respectively.