FX.co ★ US Core PCE Inflation Edges Up to 2.9% in Q4 2025, Signaling Sticky Price Pressures

The United States’ core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index inched higher in the fourth quarter of 2025, with the annualized rate rising to 2.9% from a previously recorded 2.8%. The updated figures, released on 13 March 2026, indicate that underlying inflation pressures remain slightly above the prior reading for the same period.

The core PCE measure, closely watched as a key gauge of consumer price dynamics, suggests that while inflation is not accelerating sharply, it is proving somewhat resistant to further decline. The modest uptick from 2.8% to 2.9% in Q4 2025 may reinforce expectations that price stability is still a work in progress, keeping investors focused on how long monetary policy will need to remain restrictive to guide inflation closer to target levels.