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Forex Economic Calendar
Consumer Confidence measures the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. It is a leading indicator as it can predict consumer spending, which plays a major role in overall economic activity. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the THB , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the THB.
The Trade Balance measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.
Consumer Price index is the most frequently used indicator of and reflect changes in the cost of acquiring a fixed bask of goods and services by the average consumer. The weights are usually derived from household expenditure surveys. From 1995 the weight structure is based on the European National Accounting System Classification of Individual Consumtion by Purpose (COICOP).The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change over a specified period of time in the general level of prices of goods and services that a given population acquires, uses or pays for consumption. It compares a household's cost for a specific basket of finished goods and services with the cost of the same basket during an earlier benchmark period. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.
Machine Tool Orders measures the change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers. Two versions of this report are released, preliminary and final. The preliminary report had the biggest impact.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
The WPI index that measures and tracks the changes in price of all food related goods in the stages before the retail level.
The WPI index that measures and tracks the changes in price of all fuel related goods in the stages before the retail level.
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by wholesalers.
The higher this number is the stronger the affect on consumer inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the INR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the INR.
The WPI index that measures and tracks the changes in price of all manufacturing related goods in the stages before the retail level.
The Japanese Household Confidence indicator is a measure of the mood of consumers.
The index is based on data collected from a survey of around 5000 households.
The consumer confidence indicator is closely linked to consumer spending and correlated with personal income, purchasing power, employment and business conditions.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
The Japanese Household Confidence indicator is a measure of the mood of consumers.
The index is based on data collected from a survey of around 5000 households.
The consumer confidence indicator is closely linked to consumer spending and correlated with personal income, purchasing power, employment and business conditions.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
New orders measure the value of orders received in a given period of time. They are legally binding contracts between a consumer and a producer for delivering goods and services. New orders indicate future industrial output and production requirements.
The consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change in the general level of prices of goods and services bought by households over a specified period of time. It compares a household's cost for a specific basket of finished goods and services with the cost of the same basket during an earlier benchmark period. The consumer price index is used as a measurement of and is a key economic figure. Likely impact: 1) Interest Rates: Larger-than-expected quarterly increase in price inflation or increasing trend is considered inflationary; this will cause bond prices to drop and yields and interest rates to rise. 2) Stock Prices: Higher than expected price inflation is bearish on the stock market as higher inflation will lead to higher interest rates. 3) Exchange Rates: High inflation has an uncertain effect. It would lead to depreciation as higher prices mean lower competitiveness. Conversely, higher inflation causes higher interest rates and a tighter monetary policy that leads to an appreciation.
Luis de Guindos, Vice-President of the European Central Bank, is set to speak. His speeches often contain indications on the future possible direction of monetary policy.
Russian Forex Intervention is an economic event where the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) actively participates in the foreign exchange market to control the volatility and value of the Russian Ruble. The intervention is usually done by buying or selling foreign currencies, mainly the US Dollar and the Euro, to stabilize and influence the Ruble's exchange rate.
The central bank's intervention aims to maintain a specific exchange rate target or a target range to prevent excessive fluctuations that could adversely affect the country's economic stability and growth. The intervention can also help the central bank manage inflation, foreign investments, and balance of payments.
Investors and traders closely monitor Russian Forex Intervention events, as they can significantly impact the Ruble's value and create opportunities for trading and investing. An understanding of the intervention can provide valuable insight into the CBR's monetary policies and the overall economic environment in Russia.
Monetary aggregates, known also as "money supply", is the quantity of currency available within the economy to purchase goods and services. Depending on the degree of liquidity chosen to define an asset as money, various monetary aggregates are distinguished: M0, M1, M2, M3, M4, etc. Not all of them are used by every country. Note that methodology of calculating money supply varies between countries. M2 is a monetary aggregate that includes all physical currency circulating in the economy (banknotes and coins), operational deposits in central bank, money in current accounts, saving accounts, money market deposits and small certificates of deposit. Excess money supply growth potentially can cause inflation and generate fears that the government may tighten money growth by allowing the interest rates to rise which in turn, lowers future prices. M2 = Currency in circulation + demand deposits (private sector) + time and savings deposits (private sector).
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.
This release measures the change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses. Borrowing and spending are closely correlated with consumer confidence.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY , while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.
Outstanding Loan Growth measures the change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses. Borrowing and spending are closely correlated with consumer confidence.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CNY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CNY.
Chinese Total Social Financing is an economic calendar event that offers valuable insight into China's credit conditions and overall capital flow. This data reflects the total amount of funds provided by all financing channels, including banks, non-banking financial institutions, and corporation financing through equity issuance and bonds, to support the country's real economic activities.
Tracking and analyzing this metric allows investors, economists, and policymakers to better understand the financial landscape in China, particularly capital availability and access to credit for businesses and households. Higher total social financing numbers may indicate an improving Chinese economy, which can lead to higher investment and consumption activities. On the other hand, lower figures can reflect tighter credit conditions and reduced willingness to lend, which may signal a slowing economy or increasing uncertainty.
Closely monitoring changes in the Chinese Total Social Financing figures is crucial, as it can influence domestic consumption, investment decisions, and the financial market, in turn affecting the global economy. Also, as one of the largest global trade partners, the health of China's economy can have significant impacts on the international market and other economies as well.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the average yield on the Buxl bond auctioned.
Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital.
The yield on the 30 year Bund represents the return an investor will receive by holding the treasury for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The figures displayed in the calendar represent the yield on the Treasury Gilt auctioned.
U.K. Treasury Gilts have maturities up to 50 years. Governments issue treasuries to borrow money to cover the gap between the amount they receive in taxes and the amount they spend to refinance existing debt and/or to raise capital. The rate on a Treasury Gilt represents the return an investor will receive by holding the note for its entire duration. All bidders receive the same rate at the highest accepted bid.
Yield fluctuations should be monitored closely as an indicator of the government debt situation. Investors compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security.
The Leading Indicators Index is a composite index based on 12 economic indicators, that is designed to predict the future direction of the economy.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the JPY, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the JPY.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the RUB, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the RUB.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the RUB, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the RUB.
Fixed 30-year mortgage lending rates for 80% loan-to-value mortgage (source by MBA).
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Mortgage Applications measures the change in the number of new applications for mortgages backed by the MBA during the reported week.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Purchase Index includes all mortgages applications for the purchase of a single-family home. It covers the entire market, both conventional and government loans, and all products. The Purchase Index has proven to be a reliable indicator of impending home sales.
MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Market Index covers all mortgage applications during the week. This includes all conventional and government applications, all fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs), all adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), whether for a purchase or to refinance.
MBA - Mortgage Bankers Association of America. The Refinance Index covers all mortgage applications to refinance an existing mortgage. It is the best overall gauge of mortgage refinancing activity. The Refinance Index includes conventional and government refinances, regardless of product (FRM or ARM) or coupon rate refinanced into or out of. Seasonal factors are less significant in refinances than in home sales, however holiday effects are considerable.
The Core Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the selling price of goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy. The PPI measures price change from the perspective of the seller. When producers pay more for goods and services, they are more likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Core Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the selling price of goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy. The PPI measures price change from the perspective of the seller. When producers pay more for goods and services, they are more likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Current Account index measures the difference in value between exported and imported goods, services and interest payments during the reported month. The goods portion is the same as the monthly Trade Balance figure. Because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports the data can have a sizable affect on the USD.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) ex. Food/Energy/Transport is an important economic indicator that measures inflation in the United States. It specifically tracks the average change in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services, excluding the highly volatile food, energy, and transportation sectors.
This index is closely monitored by economists, businesses, and policymakers because it provides valuable insights into the health of the economy and the potential for future inflation. By removing the three most volatile sectors, the PPI ex. Food/Energy/Transport provides a clearer understanding of underlying inflation trends and helps paint a more accurate picture of overall economic conditions.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) ex. Food/Energy/Transport is an economic event that reports the change in the prices of goods and services produced by domestic companies, excluding crucial sectors such as food, energy, and transportation. The event is significant as it gives insights into inflation and cost pressures that affect producers and, ultimately, consumers.
By focusing on goods and services outside of the volatile food, energy, and transportation sectors, the PPI ex. Food/Energy/Transport provides a more stable measure of core inflation. A higher-than-expected value may indicate increasing inflationary pressures, while a lower-than-expected value could signal that inflation is subdued or even decelerating.
Investors, government authorities, and market participants closely monitor this economic event since it can influence monetary policy decisions and impact the financial markets, particularly the equity and bond markets.
Core Retail Sales measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level in the U.S., excluding automobiles. It is an important indicator of consumer spending and is also considered as a pace indicator for the U.S. economy.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Retail Control is an important economic calendar event for the United States that measures the overall health of the retail sector. The data for this event is generally released on a monthly basis and provides insights into consumer spending behavior, as well as retail sales trends.
This event highlights the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding sales from automobiles and fuel stations. By monitoring the activity of the retail sector, analysts and investors can gauge the strength of consumer spending, which is a critical component of the economy.
Strong retail control figures indicate robust consumer spending and a growing economy, while weaker retail control results suggest that consumers may be cutting back on spending, which could signal a slowdown in economic growth. As a result, the Retail Control event is keenly watched by market participants to assess the potential impact on financial markets and the overall economy.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Retail sales data represents total consumer purchase from retail stores. It provides valuable information about consumer spending which makes up the consumption part of GDP. The most volatile components like autos, gas prices andfood prices are often removed from the report to show more underlying demand patterns as changes in sales in these categories are frequently a result of price changes. It is not adjusted for inflation. Spending on services is not included. Rising retail sales indicate stronger economic growth. However, if theincrease is larger than forecast, it may be inflationary.
The National Bank of Poland (NBP) Monetary Policy Committee's decision on where to set the benchmark interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.
A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the PLN, while a lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the PLN.
The Interest Rate Decision is a crucial economic event on the calendar for Angola. This announcement is made by the National Bank of Angola, which sets the interest rates for the country. The decision on whether to increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rate levels is primarily based on the nation's economic health.
When the economy is overheating, with inflation rising, the bank may decide to raise interest rates to cool down economic activity by making borrowing more expensive. Conversely, if the economy is in a downturn with low inflation, the bank may decide to lower interest rates to stimulate economic activity by making borrowing cheaper.
Investors and analysts closely monitor this event, as it directly affects the cost of borrowing within the country and impacts the value of the Angolan Kwanza. This, in turn, can influence the investment climate and the balance of trade, significantly affecting the overall economic scenario of Angola.
Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the COP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the COP.
Existing Home Sales measures the change in the annualized number of existing residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Existing Home Sales measures the change in the number of existing (not new) residential buildings that were sold during the previous month. This report helps to gauge the strength of the U.S. housing market and is a key indicator of overall economic strength.
A higher than expected number should be taken as positive to the USD, while a lower than expected number as negative
Business Inventories measures the change in the worth of unsold goods held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. A high reading can indicate a lack of consumer demand.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
Retail Inventories Ex Auto is an economic indicator that measures the changes in the value of retail inventories. This metric provides insight into the health of the retail sector by analyzing the value of unsold goods held by retailers, excluding automobile and auto parts dealers. A growing inventory can signal that consumer demand is weak, leading retailers to hold onto a surplus of products. On the other hand, a decline in retail inventories can indicate increased consumer spending, stronger business confidence, and positive economic growth.
Investors, market participants, and policymakers pay close attention to this data, as it serves as a valuable tool for gauging the overall health of the retail sales industry and the broader economy. Additionally, changes in retail inventories can also have a direct impact on GDP calculations, making it a significant factor in assessing economic growth. Monitoring the Retail Inventories Ex Auto can help market participants make informed decisions about potential shifts in consumer behavior and the economic landscape.
David Ramsden serves as Deputy Governor of the Bank of England. His public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation.
If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.