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FX.co ★ Jackroay | EUR/USD

EUR/USD

EURUSD M30 Complete Technical Analysis 1 Overall Market Structure The EURUSD M30 chart is showing a strong bearish market structure with consistent downside pressure throughout the visible trading sessions. Price initially traded near the 1.11630 region before sellers entered the market and initiated a significant downward movement. The formation of consecutive lower highs and lower lows confirms that bearish momentum has remained dominant. Buyers attempted several recovery movements, but none produced a convincing bullish structural reversal. The latest price is trading around 1.10225, indicating that sellers have pushed the market toward a major support and liquidity area. 2 Major Supply Zone The major supply region is located around the upper price area near 1.11480 to 1.11630. This region previously acted as a resistance area where bullish momentum weakened and selling pressure started increasing. The strong bearish candles following this region indicate that sellers gained control over the market. Price failed to maintain its previous bullish structure and started creating lower trading levels. Any future recovery toward this supply region could attract selling interest if bearish rejection and confirmation appear. 3 Bearish Rejection Scenario The initial bearish rejection developed after price failed to sustain movement around the previous highs. Sellers entered aggressively and produced several consecutive bearish candles, showing strong downside momentum. This rejection established the beginning of the visible bearish structure on the M30 timeframe. The inability of buyers to recover above previous resistance confirms continued selling pressure. A similar rejection from lower resistance areas could create another bearish opportunity if the market confirms weakness. 4 Order Block Supply Relationship The supply order block represents an important institutional reaction area where selling pressure previously became dominant. The bearish displacement following this region demonstrates that sellers successfully pushed price toward lower levels. The relationship between the supply order block and bearish fair value gaps highlights the strength of the downward movement. If price returns to an unmitigated supply area, traders can monitor bearish candle confirmation. However, the actual reaction must be confirmed through price action rather than assuming that every retest will produce a decline. 5 Fair Value Gap Formation Several bearish fair value gaps can be identified around the strong downward displacement movements. These gaps represent areas where price moved rapidly and left an imbalance between buying and selling activity. The region around 1.11180 to 1.11030 is an important historical imbalance area on the chart. Another lower imbalance can be observed around the 1.10580 region. These areas may act as potential reaction zones during a retracement, although their significance depends on subsequent price movement. 6 Strong Bearish Momentum Expansion The sharp bearish candles visible during November 11 and November 12 demonstrate strong selling momentum. These movements indicate that sellers were able to overcome buying attempts and establish lower market valuations. The speed of the downward displacement suggests that the market experienced substantial bearish pressure. Temporary bullish candles appeared during the decline, but they were unable to reverse the broader direction. Continued acceptance below previous support levels would strengthen the bearish outlook. 7 Market Structure Shift MSS The market structure shift became visible when price failed to maintain its previous recovery structure and broke important short term swing levels. The bearish movement around November 12 demonstrates a transition from temporary bullish recovery into renewed selling pressure. This structural change weakened the possibility of immediate bullish continuation. Subsequent lower highs confirmed that sellers remained active. A genuine bullish MSS would require price to break and sustain above a meaningful previous lower high. 8 Break Of Structure BOS The chart contains several bearish breaks of structure that confirm the continuation of the existing downtrend. Price repeatedly moved below previous swing lows, creating new lower trading ranges. The breakdown around the 1.10730 region was followed by additional weakness toward 1.10580 and 1.10430. These structural breaks demonstrate that buyers were unable to defend previous support levels. A bullish BOS would require a convincing close above the latest significant lower high before considering a directional reversal.

EUR/USD

9 Demand Order Block Relationship The lower demand region near the current price around 1.10225 deserves attention because price has approached this area after an extended decline. Previous buying reactions can provide information about whether buyers are willing to defend lower prices. However, the chart does not yet confirm a strong bullish reversal from this region. A successful demand reaction should produce strong bullish candles and a break above nearby resistance. Without such confirmation, the demand area remains vulnerable to another downside movement. 10 Sell Side Liquidity SSL Sell side liquidity generally develops below previous swing lows where protective stop orders and pending liquidity may accumulate. The latest price action near 1.10225 suggests that the market is approaching an important lower liquidity region. Repeated tests of this area could increase the possibility of a liquidity sweep. If price moves below the current low and quickly recovers, a potential liquidity grab may develop. A sustained bearish close below this region would instead suggest further downside continuation. 11 Current Price Action The latest candles show that EURUSD is trading near 1.10225 after an extended bearish movement. Selling pressure remains visible, although the candle bodies have become relatively smaller near the latest lows. This behavior may indicate temporary hesitation between buyers and sellers. The market has not yet established a convincing bullish recovery structure. Traders should monitor whether price stabilizes above the current low or produces another strong bearish displacement. 12 Lower High Formation The chart repeatedly demonstrates lower high formations following temporary bullish recoveries. These lower highs indicate that buyers are losing strength whenever price attempts to move toward previous resistance. The recovery around the 1.10900 region failed to establish a sustainable bullish continuation. Another recovery near 1.10600 also faced selling pressure. As long as these lower highs remain intact, the broader bearish market structure will remain dominant. 13 Lower Low Continuation The formation of consecutive lower lows is one of the strongest bearish characteristics visible on this chart. Price moved from the 1.11630 region toward the current 1.10225 level through several downward expansion phases. Each major breakdown weakened the previous support structure. Temporary consolidation periods provided opportunities for the market to pause before continuing lower. A sustained break beneath the latest low would increase the probability of another bearish extension. 14 Consolidation And Accumulation Zones The chart shows several consolidation areas after strong bearish displacement movements. One important sideways region developed around 1.10880, where price temporarily moved within a narrow range. Another consolidation developed around 1.10580 before sellers initiated another downward movement. These periods represent temporary balance between buyers and sellers rather than confirmed bullish reversals. A breakout from consolidation should be evaluated through candle strength, volume information if available, and market structure confirmation. 15 Bullish Continuation Scenario A bullish recovery scenario would require buyers to defend the 1.10225 region and produce a strong upward displacement. Price would first need to recover nearby resistance around 1.10280 and 1.10430. Further strength above 1.10580 could indicate that bullish momentum is improving. A decisive break above the previous lower high around 1.10730 would provide stronger evidence of a bullish structural shift. Until these conditions develop, any upward movement should be considered a possible retracement within the broader bearish trend. 16 Bearish Continuation Scenario The bearish continuation scenario remains supported by the existing lower high and lower low structure. If price fails to recover above nearby resistance and breaks below the 1.10225 region, additional selling pressure may develop. A successful breakdown could expose the market to further lower price levels. Bearish fair value gaps and previous resistance areas may become potential retracement zones during this movement. Confirmation through a strong bearish candle close would strengthen this scenario, while a rapid recovery above the broken level could invalidate the immediate breakdown. 17 Final Market Outlook The overall EURUSD M30 structure remains bearish, with price trading near 1.10225 after a substantial decline from the 1.11630 region. Supply order blocks, bearish fair value gaps, repeated market structure breaks, and lower high formations support the current selling pressure. The 1.10225 region is an important area to monitor because it may contain potential sell side liquidity and demand reactions. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a strong recovery and a meaningful bullish BOS above nearby swing resistance. Until that confirmation appears, bearish continuation remains the stronger technical scenario, while traders should remain cautious around the current lows.
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